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The state of play in U.S. investment management 

08 Oct 2025

By Sean Wilke, Senior Managing Director, Head of Growth Strategy, U.S. 

The U.S. private fund landscape is experiencing unprecedented transformation in 2025, driven by evolving asset class preferences, increased international capital flows, significant regulatory budget constraints, and a fundamental shift in regulatory philosophy. In this article, I take a look at the current state of play within the investment management industry, spotlighting several pertinent developments and trends. 

Trending asset classes in private funds

Private credit dominance

Private credit has emerged as the most significant growth story in alternative investments, reflecting a fundamental shift in the lending landscape. The asset class has experienced remarkable expansion, growing from approximately $1 trillion in 2020 to $1.5 trillion at the start of 2024, with projections indicating continued growth to $2.6 trillion by 2029. This growth trajectory reflects several converging factors. Traditional bank lending has contracted due to regulatory constraints and net capital requirements, creating opportunities for private credit providers to fill the gap. Borrowers increasingly value the speed, certainty and flexibility that private credit solutions offer compared to traditional banking relationships. 

Family offices have been particularly active in this space, doubling down on private credit investments during periods of private equity market volatility. Direct lending strategies have become especially popular, offering predictable income streams and floating-rate structures that provide protection against interest rate fluctuations. 

Infrastructure resurgence

Infrastructure investments are experiencing renewed interest from institutional investors and family offices. Digital infrastructure, in particular, has emerged as a bullish area, reflecting the ongoing digital transformation across industries and the growing need for data center capacity, telecommunications networks and related technological infrastructure. 

The infrastructure trend extends beyond digital assets to encompass traditional physical infrastructure projects. The combination of government policy support, aging infrastructure needs, and the search for inflation-protected returns has made infrastructure an attractive allocation for long-term institutional capital. 

Private equity rebound

After experiencing significant headwinds in recent years, private equity is showing signs of recovery in 2025. The improvement is largely attributed to a more supportive interest rate environment, with Federal Reserve rate cuts since September 2024 creating favorable conditions for leveraged buyouts and growth investments. The combination of lower interest rates, anticipated deregulation and resilient economic growth has created optimism among private equity investors. Both mergers and acquisitions (M&A) and initial public offerings (IPOs) are beginning to restart, providing much-needed exit opportunities that have been constrained up until this point. 

Real estate and specialized strategies

Private real estate is positioned for increased investment activity in late 2025, with major private equity firms preparing for emerging opportunities. Real estate debt has been highlighted as particularly attractive given the dislocation in traditional commercial real estate lending markets. Specialized alternative strategies are also gaining traction, including investments in royalties, intellectual property and sustainability-focused ventures. Venture capital funds have been particularly active in green mobility investments, accounting for ~40% of approximately $5.8 billion in net asset value (NAV) in this sector. 

International capital sourcing trends

Growing dependence on foreign capital

U.S. fund sponsors are increasingly looking abroad for capital, a trend that has accelerated in 2025. This shift reflects both the scale of capital required for modern investing strategies and the growing sophistication of international institutional investors seeking exposure to U.S. alternatives. Sovereign wealth funds (SWFs) have become particularly important sources of capital, with more investment than ever piling into U.S. private equity and investment funds. The global private markets are attracting unprecedented attention from SWFs, family offices and other institutional investors worldwide. 

Sovereign wealth fund partnerships

The relationship between U.S. investment managers and SWFs has evolved beyond simple capital provision to strategic partnerships. These relationships often involve co-investment opportunities, shared expertise and long-term strategic alignment rather than traditional limited partner arrangements. The Middle East has been particularly active in this evolution, with SWFs and institutional investors in the region increasingly allocating capital to U.S.-managed private market strategies. This reflects both the region’s significant capital reserves and seemingly insatiable appetite for diversification into U.S. alternative investments. 

Regulatory considerations

The pursuit of international capital occurs within a complex regulatory framework. The Committee on Foreign Investment in the United States (CFIUS) continues to review foreign investments for national security concerns, adding a layer of complexity to international fundraising efforts. The regulatory environment has become more complex with the Trump administration’s creation of a U.S. sovereign wealth fund, as directed by executive order on February 3, 2025. This development suggests the U.S. government’s recognition of SWFs’ growing importance in global capital markets. 

SEC budget cuts and operational impact

Staffing reductions across divisions

Looking at the regulatory environment more broadly, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has experienced significant staffing reductions that have materially impacted its operational capacity. The cuts have been particularly severe in critical divisions, with the Office of the Chief Counsel experiencing the largest reduction at 19.5% of staff departures. Other major divisions have also been significantly affected, including Investment Management (16.7% staff reduction), Trading and Markets (14.7%), and Enforcement (13.0%). Corporate Finance experienced relatively smaller reductions at 8.7%, but still represents a meaningful loss of regulatory capacity. 

Capacity and resource constraints

The staffing reductions have created an unsustainable ratio between regulatory responsibilities and available resources. The current workload translates to approximately 11.8 registered and reporting entities per SEC employee a ratio that could continue to intensify while the agency faces requirements to reduce its workforce further. 

Impact on regulatory functions

The resource constraints could lead to changes in regulatory approach across multiple functions. Enforcement activities may become more focused on post-incident investigations rather than routine oversight and prevention.  

A review by King & Spalding found that the SEC enforcement actions from February 1 to July 31, 2025 equated to a 47% decrease versus the same six-month period in 2024 and a 66% drop compared to that period in 2021. However, former Commissioners Daniel M. Gallagher and Elad L. Roisman have both made public comments aimed at alleviating concerns about the future of enforcement, with Roisman stating that “the death of enforcement is [] overplayed,” and Gallagher asserting that the idea that enforcement is going away is “crazy” as it is a “central function of the agency.”   

Regardless, overall impact suggests a move from proactive regulatory oversight to reactive enforcement, creating both opportunities and risks for investment advisers. Reduced rulemaking activity may ease restrictions in some areas, but, while enforcement remains a core function, less predictability in enforcement actions may create compliance challenges. 

Investment adviser examinations under new SEC leadership

Leadership transition and philosophy

The SEC is also undergoing significant leadership changes with Chair Gary Gensler’s resignation effective January 20, 2025, and President Trump’s nomination of Paul Atkins as the new Chair. Atkins brings extensive experience as a consultant on securities and investment management industry matters, with particular expertise in regulatory compliance, risk management and organizational control. 

This leadership transition signals a fundamental shift in regulatory philosophy from an enforcement-heavy approach to business-friendly policies emphasizing regulatory clarity and market appeal. Chairman Atkins has expressed preference for regulatory approaches that boost U.S. markets’ appeal to businesses and investors. 

Current examination priorities

Despite leadership changes, the established 2025 examination priorities remain in effect, providing continuity for firms subject to SEC examination authority. The Division of Examinations continues to focus on firm compliance with existing rules and regulations, emphasizing perennial and emerging risk areas. 

Current priorities include fiduciary standards, compliance programs, and private fund adviser oversight. The Division maintains focus on investment advisers’ adherence to fiduciary standards of conduct, cybersecurity preparedness, and artificial intelligence governance. Particular attention continues to be paid to advisers that have never been examined or have not been recently examined, with continued focus on newly registered advisers. 

Expected changes in examination approach

While priority areas remain the same, the new administration signals significant changes in examination and enforcement philosophy. Novel case theories will require Commission approval before subpoena issuance rather than at investigation conclusions, which should help avoid regulatory overreach. The investigatory process is more likely to involve informal interviews rather than formal enforcement actions. Under Atkins’ leadership, the SEC is likely to adopt a more cautious approach to finalizing rules, particularly those related to digital assets, ESG disclosures, service provider requirements, and shareholder proposals. This represents a marked shift from the previous administration’s approach. 

Enforcement philosophy changes

Enforcement is expected to become more collaborative and less punitive. While examination procedures may remain similar, the threshold for enforcement actions and the issues that trigger formal investigations are likely to change significantly. 

Early market data suggests positive reception of these changes, with 2025 IPO projections already exceeding 150 transactions compared to 120 in 2024; a 25% increase that supporters attribute to anticipated deregulatory impact. 

Industry implications and strategic considerations

Capital formation opportunities

The combination of trending asset classes and increased international capital availability creates significant opportunities for U.S. investment advisers. The $2 trillion of dry powder available in private capital markets provides substantial deployment capacity across growing sectors. Investment managers should consider how to position themselves for continued growth in private credit, infrastructure and specialized alternative strategies while building relationships with international capital sources. The emphasis should be on developing differentiated strategies that appeal to sophisticated institutional investors seeking alpha generation and portfolio diversification. 

Regulatory adaptation strategies

The changing regulatory environment requires adaptive compliance strategies that account for both reduced SEC capacity and evolving enforcement priorities. Investment managers should focus on maintaining robust compliance programs while preparing for a more collaborative regulatory relationship. Firms should anticipate continued focus on fundamental fiduciary duties and compliance program effectiveness, but potentially with more emphasis on education and guidance rather than punitive enforcement. This environment may favor firms with strong internal controls and proactive compliance cultures. 

Operational efficacy

Reduced regulatory oversight does not diminish the importance of operational performance. If anything, the combination of larger fund sizes, international investors and complex strategies increases the premium on operational sophistication and risk management capabilities. Investment managers should invest in technology, personnel and processes that support scalable operations while maintaining the flexibility to adapt to evolving market conditions and regulatory requirements. 

Conclusory thoughts and takeaways

The U.S. investment management industry is navigating a period of significant transformation characterized by asset class evolution, international capital integration, regulatory resource constraints and philosophical shifts in oversight approach. Success in this environment requires strategic adaptation across multiple dimensions. 

Private credit’s continued growth, infrastructure investment opportunities and private equity recovery provide attractive deployment opportunities for capital, while increasing international investor sophistication offers access to larger capital pools. However, these opportunities exist within a regulatory framework experiencing unprecedented change. 

The SEC’s reduced capacity and changing leadership philosophy create both opportunities and uncertainties that require careful navigation. Investment managers must balance the benefits of a more collaborative regulatory environment with the ongoing need for strong compliance cultures and operational excellence. 

Firms that successfully adapt to these changes by developing differentiated strategies, building international relationships, maintaining compliance excellence, and investing in operational capabilities are likely to thrive in this evolving landscape. The key is maintaining focus on fundamental investment management principles while adapting to the changing regulatory and market environment. 

The next several years will determine which managers successfully navigate this transformation and emerge as leaders in the new paradigm. Those that combine strategic vision with operational excellence and regulatory adaptability are best positioned for long-term success in the evolving private fund landscape. 

To find out more about our U.S. regulatory compliance expertise or speak to a member of our experienced team, please click here. 

 

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